Fundamental Overview Despite good data on the inflation and growth front, Bitcoin couldn’t find a sustained bid amid the generally positive risk sentiment. There was no real catalyst for the drop other than a key technical support getting breached. We got a quick drop into a key support zone today which will likely attract more
Technical Analysis
In the kickstart video for June 21, I take a look at the three major currency pairs from a technical perspective and explain what the bias is, what the risks are, and what the targets are for each. The EURUSD corrected up to tested 61.8% retracement of the move up from the April low at
The Swiss National Bank cut rates by 25 basis points yesterday and that reversed the downward bias that the USDCHF was experiencing going into the rate decision. The subsequent move higher move back above the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the December 2023 low at 0.8883, a swing area between 0.8881 and 0.8892,
The USDJPY has lifted back to the upside and is back above the 159.00 level after the stronger-than-expected S&P/global manufacturing and services index flash data. The high price traded up to 159.206. That gets it to 100 pips short of the 2024 high price at 160.208. That I was the highest level going back to
The AUDUSD this week traded down to test a swing area between 0.6575 and 0.6590. The subsequent move to the upside then tested the high of a swing area between 0.6677 and 0.66896 (see the chart below). Staying with the confines of the “red box” where most of the trading has taken place over the
As the clock ticks to the end of the trading week, the USDCAD has moved higher after reaching a new low for the week earlier in the trading day. On the way to the low, the price did move back below its 200 bar moving average on the 4-hour chart at 1.3687. It also fell
The GBPJPY has been on an upward trend this week, but it turned lower during the European session following weaker-than-expected flash PMI data. The price dropped below its 100-hour moving average (blue line on the chart above at 200.77) but found support near the 200-hour moving average and the lower boundary of a swing area
GBPUSD sellers are making a play The GBPUSD fell earlier today. The BOE kept their policy rate unchanged today. However, as Justin pointed out in his posts after the decision, the Bank of England’s latest statement includes subtle dovish hints suggesting potential rate cuts in the near future. In the forward guidance, the BOE added,
The AUDUSD earlier this week tested the low of what has been a fairly confined trading range between 0.6575 AND 0.66896 (see red box on the chart below), and then tested the high of that swing area both yesterday and today. So traders continue to trade the range by leaning on the downside and on
Fundamental Overview The USD last week saw a quick dip across the board following the soft US CPI report as the market priced back in two rate cuts by the end of the year. The moves were reversed soon after though as we got a bit more hawkish than expected FOMC decision where the dot
NVDA price forecast for traders and investors at ForexLive.com Predicting where a stock might rest after a significant rally, especially when it’s creating new all-time highs (ATH) almost weekly, presents a unique challenge in technical analysis. NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation) is currently in such a phase, with its price action tightly confined within a strong bull
The best traders anticipate the next trade. In this video I take a look at the GBPJPY and the EURJPY from a technical perspective and pick out the key level that will define the bullish/bearish barometer heading into the new trading day and explain why the levels are important. The level will either keep the
The AUDUSD has been fluctuating mostly between 0.6575 and 0.66896 over the past 6-7 weeks. This prolonged period of oscillation has led to the near convergence of the 100 and 200 bar moving averages on the 4-hour chart, which are now positioned between 0.66318 and 0.66349. Today, weaker US retail sales data and an RBA
The AUDUSD sellers made a play to the get outside of a swing area on the downside at 0.6575. The low price reached 0.6584. that low was also just above the 38.2% retracement of the move up from April at 0.6579. Buyers leaned against the low area. The price has rebounded higher over the last
The NZDUSD continues the fall from last week’s high. Recall from last week, the price moved higher and extended above swing highs from February 22, March 8, and June 6 up to 0.6215. The high-priced last week extended to 0.6221 but stalled and started the rotation back to the downside. The rotation to the downside
The USDCHF rebounded earlier this week in the process extended above the 38.2% retracement of the move down from the May high to the June low. The level came in at 0.8986. However, momentum cannot be sustained in the price started rotation to the downside helped by the weaker CPI on Wednesday. The low for
Russell 2000 daily This is what regime change in the stock market looks like. On Wednesday, the Russell 2000 surged on a soft CPI report and it bumped higher yesterday on PPI. But here we are at the lows of the week and at a six-week low, as it reversed a 2% gain. For 18
The AUDUSD started the week testing the low of a swing area (going back to early May) near 0.6579 and also the 38.2% retracement of the move up from the April 2024 low to the May high near the same level. Sellers pushed the price below that level early on Monday of this week, but
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