Technical Analysis

GBPUSD trades to new 2023 high The momentum has continued for the GBPUSD. It has now broken above the June and July highs near 1.2848. The price is currently trading at 1.28655. That takes the price to the highest level since April 22, 2022 Looking at the hourly chart above, the next Topside target comes

The strongest to the weakest of the major currencies The USD is the strongest and the AUD is the weakest as the North American session begins. Overnight, in June, China experienced its most significant drop in factory-gate prices in over seven years, and consumer prices neared deflation, signaling a slowdown in the world’s second-largest economy.

The USDJPY is extending the declines with the pair now trading to the lowest level since June 22. The move today has now seen a high-to-low trading range of 210 pips. That is well above the 109 average over the last 22 trading days. So there may be some oversold component, but technicals will play

GBPUSD based at swing area and raced higher…. The GBPUSD is extended to a new high for the day and in the process is pushing to the high from June 22 at 1.28349 (breaking above that level now). The high from June 16 at 1.28478 is the next target. Move above that and the GBPUSD

AUDUSD tests 100/200 day MAs The AUDUSD is pushing to a new session high and in the process is testing its 200-day moving average of 0.66949. The price has already moved above its 100-day moving average of 0.66866. Staying above the 100-day moving average keeps the buyers firmly in control. On Tuesday and again on

EURUSD targets the swing area The EURUSD continued its run to the upside and in the process has now reached the next key swing area between 1.09618 and 1.09759. The high price reached 1.09725. The current price trades at 1.0966. The move to the upside took the steps outlined in the pre-employment video. IN that

Crude oil moves up to test its 100 day moving average The price of WTI crude oil futures settled at $73.86. That’s up $2.06 or 2.87%. The gain equaled the gain from July 5 which is the largest gain since June 15. The low price reached $71.19. The high price was at $73.91. The lower

The US data has been consistently surprising to the upside since the last FOMC meeting, and this has led to a more hawkish pricing in interest rates expectations. Fed Chair Powell and other Fed members have also reiterated that two or more rate hikes can be appropriate if the data remains strong. On the other

The EURUSD started the trading date near highs for the day and also testing its falling 200 hour moving average and downward sloping trendline on the hourly chart below). The level came near 1.09000 level. The ADP report showed a eye opening 497K new jobs with leisure and hospitality adding 232K, education and health services

WTI crude oil futures are settling at $71.79. That’s up an even $2 on the day or 2.87%. The high price today reached $72.17. The low price was at $69.90. The high price from June 21 reached $72.72. That is the next upside target. Above that the high price from June 8 reached $73.28, and

AUDUSD falls below the 100/200 hour MAs The AUDUSD has moved below its 100 and 200-hour moving averages at 0.6660. The current price trades just below the level of 0.66577. The low for the day reached 0.66532. Trading below those levels and staying below those levels would keep the bias more in favor of the

The manufacturing sector has been contracting basically all over the world with the biggest economies like US, China and Eurozone being the highlights. We had recently a rally in copper prices due to the expectations of more economic stimulus from China, but the market got disappointed from the weak actions and it’s erasing the entire

Since the last FOMC meeting the US economic data surprised consistently to the upside leading to a more hawkish pricing for interest rates expectations. In fact, Fed Chair Powell said that the majority of the FOMC expects two or more rate hikes coming if the economy performs as expected. Conversely, the UK employment and inflation

The market expects the Fed to hike by 25 bps at the July meeting given that the economic data kept on surprising to the upside since the last FOMC meeting, although a lot will depend on the next NFP and CPI reports. Fed Chair Powell reiterated that they expect two or more rate hikes if

GBPUSD The GBPUSD is trading above and below the 100 and 200-hour MAs with the 100-hour MA at 1.26705 and the 200-hour MA at 1.27015. The sellers below the 100-hour MA took their shot. The buyers above the 200-hour MA took their shot. Both missed. THe price is currently trading between the two MAs now

The AUDUSD has moved above the 100-hour moving average of 0.66485. That is the first trade above that moving average since falling below on June 20. The price has also moved above a broken swing area between 0.6637 and 0.6652. The area is now close support for buyers looking for more upside. Move back below

The USDCAD moved up to test a swing area between 1.3271 and 1.3285 on Wednesday, and again yesterday on 2 separate tests. The high price yesterday stalled right against the high of that swing area at 1.3285. It couldn’t get through and make a run at the 38.2% retracement above at 1.33222. In trading today,

The EURUSD ran through resistance up to 1.0896 when I looked at the EURUSD earlier. That gave buyers more control and they took the price up to the 100 and 200-hour MAs. The price of the EURUSD moved above the 200-hour moving average but could not sustain momentum. The price had rotated modestly to the