Technical Analysis

Crude oil trade between 100/200 hour moving averages The price of WTI crude futures are settling at $89.63. That’s down $0.03 or -0.03%. Technically looking at the hourly chart above, the price settlement is just above its 200-hour moving average at $89.57, and below its 100-hour moving average at $90.30. That puts the price in

Yesterday, the Fed left interest rates unchanged at 5.25-5.50% as expected but revised its outlook on the more hawkish side. In fact, the Fed not only sees another rate hike by the end of the year but also much less rate cuts in 2024 as they revised it from 4.6% seen in June to 5.1%

The initial reactions in the market were for the US dollar to move higher, yields to move higher, and stocks to move lower. EURUSD: The EURUSD moved from around 1.0725 through the 200 hour moving average 1.0702 and down to the 100 hour moving average 1.06749. The low price reached just below the 100-hour moving

Crude Oil surged to new highs as the supply side got squeezed even more by resilient demand and more production cuts. In fact, the OPEC continues to forecast robust growth for oil demand in 2023 and 2024 while keeping supplies tight as Saudi Arabia and Russia extended their voluntary production cuts. Moreover, we got some

The FOMC is expected to keep rates unchanged tomorrow when they meet. As such, traders will be looking for clues for a more hawkish unchanged policy or a more dovish unchanged policy. There are a lot of balls in the air including sticky inflation, but core inflation is starting to calm down. Strikes are popping

US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. The US CPI last week came in line with expectations, so the market’s pricing remained roughly the same. The labour market displayed signs

With nearly 1/2 of the North American session is now over (and most of the day over), and the USDJPY remains in a very narrow 32-pip trading range for the day. That is only 31% of what is a normal day over the last trading month (the normal range for a day is 102 pips).

Last week, we got another set of good economic data for the US with signs of further disinflation in the core inflation measures. The soft-landing narrative should be in full swing with resilient labour market, lower inflation, and lower inflation expectations. Nonetheless, the S&P 500 price action remains rangebound, and at this point it might

The major US stock indices are trading at session lows as European traders start to look for the exits for the week. The NASDAQ index is now down around 1.3%. The S&P index is down -0.89%. All the major indices are back below its 50 day moving averages after closing above those moving averages yesterday.

The AUDUSD traded at the week’s low on Monday in the 1st hour of trading at 0.63706. The price moved sharply higher on that day, but by Wednesday, the price had rotated back down toward the lows into a swing area between 0.63791 and 0.63874. Support buyers came in against that level and pushed the

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The price of WTI crude futures are settling at $90.77. That’s up $0.61 or 0.66%. The low for the day reach $89.22. The high extend up to $91.15. For the week, the prices up around 4% on the week. This is the 3rd consecutive up week for crude oil. Technically, the price is closing above

The EURJPY is trading in and up and down range over the last 5 – 6 weeks with most of the activity between 156.86 and 159.48. There have been a few wonders above and below that area, but those breaks were brief and did not gather much momentum. In trading today, the price has rebounded

USDCAD falls to new session lows The USDCAD is trading to a new session alone in the process is testing a swing area between 1.3494 and 1.35039. Below that is the September 1 low at 1.34889. Get below those levels and traders will start to think about the 200 day moving average down at 1.3464

The ‘sell the fact’ mode continues in the euro. The surprise rate hike was priced in after the leak on Monday and now the sellers are arriving with ECB President Christine Lagarde strongly suggesting that the central bank is done hiking rates. A close below the 1.0635 level would confirm a fresh leg lower.

Yesterday, the US CPI report came basically in line with expectations as the market was already expecting higher energy prices to push up the August inflation readings. The Core measure, which is what the Fed is focused on, was in line with forecasts with the monthly figure just a touch higher than expected. The core

Ethereum keeps on falling and making new lows as the outlook is turning more and more bearish given the headwinds from global growth and tight monetary policies. All the positive news eventually gets faded, which is another sign that the big picture trend remains bearish. Amid this high uncertainty, the technicals can help with risk

US: The Fed hiked by 25 bps as expected and kept everything unchanged at the last meeting. Fed Chair Powell reaffirmed their data dependency and kept all the options on the table. Inflation measures since then showed further disinflation. The labour market displayed signs of softening although it remains fairly solid. Overall, the economic data