News

Yen rises strongly in Asian session after BoJ’s surprise announcement of raising 10-year yield cap to 0.50%. Dollar is following closely as second, and then Swiss Franc, on risk aversion. For the same reason, Australian, and New Zealand Dollar are sold off as weakens, followed by Sterling. Canadian and Euro are mixed for now. Technically,
0 Comments
Overall risk sentiment is steady in the financial markets today. Aussie and Canadian Dollars are firming up slightly, while Dollar and Yen soften. The upcoming BoJ rate decision in Asia is unlikely to give Yen any special support. Euro was lifted briefly by better than expected Germany data, but buying didn’t last long. European majors
0 Comments
The price action in equities isn’t great right now and the selling at this time of year reminds me of December 2018. There’s some heavy tax loss selling and it’s hitting in an increasingly-illiquid market. That year from Dec 13-24, the Nasdaq fell to 6190 from 7154, or 13.4%. The drop was compounded by a
0 Comments
Yen rises broadly in Asian session on rumors that the Japanese government is considering to revive the joint statement with BoJ, which would loosen up the languages on the 2% inflation target, and set the stage for a policy change next year. Yet, any changes is likely only after a change in BoJ governor in
0 Comments
The US rate hikes continue to cast shadows on gold’s upside potential. The aggressive rate hikes of the US Federal Reserve made the US currency an attractive destination for more yield, prompting selling pressure in gold-like non-interest yielding assets. After hiking rates by seventy-five basis points in the past four successive meetings, the US central
0 Comments
Treasury yields tried to move up today but cracked back lower. That’s left: 2s -8.3 bps to 4.16% 10s +2 bps to 3.71% 30s +2.7 bps to 3.52% The first thing to note is the inversion of the yield curve, which is still at 69 bps despite today’s bull flattening. The second thing to note
0 Comments
In the past year we’ve seen the implosions of: NFTs Meme stocks Crypto Tech stocks With that, you would think retail traders would sober up. Instead, they’ve switched from hard liquor to crack cocaine in the of ultra-short-dated equity options. Here’s a chart from Goldman Sachs showing that 44% of SPX volume in the third
0 Comments
gold buying typically happens behind the scenes, the recent record-high purchases created a stir in the market and raises the question of whether central banks know more. Judging by their investment performance, we do not believe they know more. Instead, we see their behaviour as sending political statements to Washington, Berlin, or Brussels. Dating back
0 Comments
Risk sentiment took a U-turn last week after more hawkish than expected FOMC projections and, more important, ECB forward guidance. Euro ended as the biggest winner for the week, trained by Swiss Franc, and the Dollar. Australian Dollar was the worst performer, followed by Sterling, and then Kiwi. Canadian Dollar and Yen ended mixed. The
0 Comments