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Big fall today and down for the week The major European indices are ending the week on a sour note with big declines on the day. For the week the indices are also lower. Looking at the provisional closes: German DAX -1.9% France’s CAC -1.5% UK’s FTSE 100 -2.0% Spain’s Ibex -1.9% Italy’s FTSE MIB -1.8% For the week, the indices are
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Latest data released by ONS – 18 June 2021 Prior +9.2% Retail sales +24.6% vs +29.3% y/y expected Prior +42.4% Retail sales ex autos, fuel -2.1% vs +1.4% m/m expected Prior +9.0% Retail sales ex autos, fuel +21.7% vs +27.1% y/y expected Prior +37.7% The monthly figures are a little underwhelming but there are still
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Dollar surges overnight after much hawkish than expected Fed interest rate projections. The case of near term bullish reversal continues to build up and there is prospect of further rally before weekend. Markets are relatively mixed elsewhere though. Australian Dollar is lifted by strong job data while New Zealand Dollar is supported by strong GDP.
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So much for letting prices run hot The picture in the market is increasingly clear: Trades that benefit from inflation are reversing  today in a big way. Commodities down Small caps down Treasury yields down Tech stocks higher Gold down Yen up It’s exactly what you would expect to see on the reflation trade unwinding.
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