NZD/USD: Further pullbacks likely below 0.6285 – UOB

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NZD/USD risks extra losses while below the 0.6285 level, according to Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that NZD ‘is under mild downward pressure and the bias is to the downside but a break of the major support at 0.6195 is unlikely’. NZD did not quite trade with a downside bias as it gyrated between 0.6206 and 0.6251 before settling at 0.6220 (+0.10%). The price movements appear to be part of a consolidation phase. Today, we expect NZD to trade sideways between 0.6200 and 0.6250.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “Two days ago (20 Feb, spot at 0.6230), we highlighted that NZD has to break below 0.6195 within these 1-2 days or the chance for further weakness will diminish quickly. NZD traded sideways the past few days and did not break 0.6195. Downward momentum is fading quickly but as long as 0.6285 (no change in ‘strong resistance’) is not breached, there is still a slim chance for NZD to break below 0.6195. Looking ahead, if NZD were to break clearly below 0.6195, the next level to monitor is at 0.6150.”

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