US 2-year yields rise above 0.40% for the first time since the pandemic

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Bonds continue to price in hikes

The bond market is having a rethink on inflation and interest rates today. US 2-year yields are up 4.5 basis points today to 0.40%. It’s the highest since the start of the pandemic as the front end of the curve looks to make a move.

A September 2022 hike is now 80% priced in and every time a central banker expresses some doubt in the ‘transitory’ ethos, that ticks ever-so-higher.

This is a big mountain to climb but we’ll get there eventually.

It’s also a painful reminder that back in the 1980s, you could get one of these paying 16%. Before the financial crisis you could get 5-6%.

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