The classic tweet from Dec 2018 The fear in markets is that Trump is going to be hitting everyone with tariffs. He’s a very tough guy to predict but I’m growing more optimistic. 1) The threats to Mexico and Canada are solvable One of his first post-election tweets talked about 25% tariffs on Mexico and
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DXY slips as profit-taking sets in, falling toward 107.80. Traders parse disinflationary PCE data after Fed’s hawkish cut on Wednesday. The soft inflation readings might not alter the ‘wait and see’ posture of the Fed. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of currencies, took a hit
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The financial markets were jolted by Fed’s hawkish rate cut last week, sending ripples across stocks, bonds, currencies, precious metals, and even cryptocurrencies. Fed’s indication of prolonged restrictive monetary policy fueled risk aversion, pushing Dollar to end the week as the strongest performer in the currency markets, supported by surging yields and elevated Fed expectations.
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S&P 500 did not see convincing buying following the opening bell in the least – no surprise to clients, I had been bearish ever since the intraday update issued for them during Powell conference latter minutes. Also the macro reasons given for the slide presented earlier yesterday, offered my view on which price action scenario
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Fed’s hawkish rate cut overnight sparked an outsized market reaction, with DOW plunging over -1100 points and NASDAQ losing -3.5%. Fed’s messages didn’t deviate from expectations leading to the meeting, indicating a slower easing path in 2025 with likely just two more rate cuts and a terminal rate near or above 3.0%. But markets responded
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EUR/USD gains on Friday, settling near 1.0395 after Wednesday’s steep decline. RSI rises sharply to 37, remaining in negative territory and reflecting hesitant recovery attempts. MACD histogram prints flat red bars, indicating persistent bearish pressure albeit with signs of stabilization. After suffering a sharp drop of more than 1% on Wednesday, the EUR/USD managed a
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