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Yen’s near term rebound gained momentum again today, supported by BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda’s persistent messaging about a potential rate hike at next week’s policy meeting. Ueda’s repeated remarks are interpreted as laying the groundwork for markets to brace for a monetary policy shift. While recent polls as of last week indicated only a minority
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Melbourne Institute Inflation Expectations survey Over the past six months or so, the survey has generally reflected ongoing concerns about price pressures. While the month-to-month figures have shown some variability, the overall trend suggests that consumers remain wary of sustained inflation levels, particularly in light of rising costs for essential goods and services. In several
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Yen’s recovery gained some momentum today on as speculation over an imminent BoJ rate hike. Governor Kazuo Ueda reinforced Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino’s earlier comments, suggesting that next week’s policy meeting could bring a shift in monetary policy. The unified tone from BoJ’s leadership is seen a calculated effort to prime markets for potential action.
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Dollar is holding steady against its peers in early U.S. trading, with softer-than-expected PPI report failing to trigger significant selling pressure. Market sentiment continues to shift toward the possibility that the Fed might refrain from additional rate cuts in 2025. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in less than 60% probability of a 25bps rate
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Manufacturers sentiment index +2 in January -1 in December Index for non-manufacturers’ mood to +31 was +30 in December Both manufacturers, non-manufacturers see no change in April *** Japanese manufacturers’ sentiment improved in January, rising to +2 from December’s -1, driven by stronger conditions in materials industries like steel, oil, and chemicals. However, their outlook
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Speculation surrounding the incoming US administration’s tariff strategy continues to rattle global markets. Reports suggest that President-elect Donald Trump’s economic team is exploring a phased approach to tariffs, gradually increasing rates by 2% to 5% per month. This tactic, if adopted, would utilize executive powers under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to maximize negotiation
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