FX

Pound Sterling outperforms US Dollar on hopes of Russia-Ukraine truce The Pound Sterling (GBP) climbs to near the psychological resistance of 1.2500 against the US Dollar (USD) in European trading hours on Thursday. The GBP/USD pair strengthens as positive developments in peace talks between Russia and Ukraine have overcome the impact of hotter-than-expected United States (US)
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WTI attracts some sellers to around $71.10 in Thursday’s early Asian session. Trump called Putin and Zelenskiy to discuss ending the war in Ukraine. US crude oil stockpiles climbed by 4.07 million barrels last week, according to the EIA.  West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $71.10 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
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US President Donald’s trade adviser Peter Navarro said late Tuesday that Australia was “killing the aluminium market”, the day after Trump signed executive orders for import tariffs on some metals. Australia hopes to secure exemptions to the new taxes on steel and aluminium. Trump on Monday signed executive orders, which will see 25% taxes placed
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Europe continues to face high energy prices due to gas supply concerns, global trade tensions, and low wind levels. Gas prices have averaged €50/MWh so far this year, with German baseload power prices at €122/MWh, the highest since early 2023 and late 2022, respectively, Rabobank’s Energy Strategist Florence Schmit notes.  Europe continues to face high
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EUR/GBP is offered again this morning as the market is dominated once more by the tariff story, ING’s FX analyst Chris Turner notes.  GBP/USD to go to the lower end of the 1.2250-2500 trading range “Here, the market expects the EU to have more to lose than the UK on tariffs. We cannot rule out
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Mexican Peso treads water as inflation figures hint at further easing by Banxico. Despite US payrolls falling short, a lower unemployment rate boosts the USD against the Peso. Interest rate forecasts suggest further easing in Mexico, with the Fed maintaining a cautious outlook for 2025. The Mexican Peso (MXN) reversed its course and depreciated against
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Gold gains as traders react to President Trump’s threat of new reciprocal tariffs, enhancing its safe-haven status. US Nonfarm Payrolls fall short of expectations, yet a declining Unemployment Rate suggests a resilient labor market. PBoC’s increased Gold reserves and cautious comments from Fed officials contribute to the metal’s price dynamics. Gold resumed its uptrend on
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According to the University of Michigan’s (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index, American consumers are beginning to grow increasingly concerned about United States (US) President Donald Trump’s approach to economic policy and international trade. Trade war fears have knocked back consumer confidence, and consumer inflation expectations have also climbed. The Preliminary UoM Sentiment Index showed that aggregate
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The European Central Bank will publish its staff revision on the neutral rate today, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole notes. EUR/USD to retest the 1.044 Wednesday highs “President Christine Lagarde said last week that r-star is ‘a range that does not give a guideline or a destination’ and Olli Rehn added yesterday that ‘we should
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The US Dollar Index holds below 108.00 as mixed economic indicators raise concerns ahead of Friday’s employment report. ADP reports a stronger-than-expected increase in private sector employment for January, while Initial Jobless Claims also rise. Investors anticipate the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls data to gauge the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy decisions. The US Dollar Index
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Eurozone annual Retail Sales rose 1.9% in December. Retail Sales in the old continent arrived at -0.2% MoM in December. Eurozone’s Retail Sales rose 1.9% in the year through December after increasing by a revised 1.6% in November, the official data released by Eurostat showed on Thursday. The data aligned with the market expectations. On a monthly
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