Economy

Goldman Sachs has cut its probability forecast for a U.S. recession to 20% shortly after raising it, as fresh labor market data sparked a reassessment of market views on the economy. Economists at Goldman earlier this month raised their 12-month U.S. recession probability from 15% to 25% after the U.S. July jobs report of Aug.

Luke Sharrett/Bloomberg via Getty Images Egg prices are climbing, placing the household staple back in the spotlight as consumers stay concerned not only about inflation but the absolute level of prices. July marked a third straight month that egg prices rose on an annual basis, a reversal from a year of relative decreases. The culprit

Consumer spending held up even better than expected in July as inflation pressures showed more signs of easing, the Commerce Department reported Thursday. Advanced retail sales accelerated 1% on the month, according to numbers that are adjusted for seasonality but not inflation. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones had been looking for a 0.3% increase. June

Improved outlook A guided tour in the center of in York, UK, on Friday, June 7, 2024. Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images The U.K. economy grew by 0.6% in the second quarter of the year, the Office for National Statistics said Thursday, continuing the country’s cautious recession rebound. The reading was in line with

Inflation rose as expected in July, driven by higher housing-related costs, according to a Labor Department report Wednesday that is likely to keep an interest rate cut on the table in September. The consumer price index, a broad-based measure of prices for goods and services, increased 0.2% for the month, putting the 12-month inflation rate

A key measure of wholesale inflation rose less than expected in July, opening the door further for the Federal Reserve to start lowering interest rates. The producer price index, which measures selling prices that producers get for goods and services, increased 0.1% on the month, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Tuesday. Excluding

Product prices as seen at Walmart.  Courtesy: Walmart The news Tuesday was good for inflation, and investors hope it will get even better Wednesday when the Labor Department releases the July consumer price index report. With the score being one down, one to go on confirming that the early-year jump in prices either was a

People shop at a grocery store in Brooklyn on July 11, 2024 in New York City. Spencer Platt | Getty Images Consumers grew more confident in July that inflation will be less of a problem in the coming years, according to a New York Federal Reserve report Monday that showed the three-year outlook at a

A general view of the Eiffel Tower with the Olympics rings pictured with national flags of competing countries from the Place du Trocadero ahead of Paris 2024 Olympic Games on July 21, 2024 in Paris, France. Kevin Voigt | Getty Images Sport | Getty Images The Olympic Games are causing a surge in prices, but

Initial claims for unemployment insurance totaled less than expected last week, countering other signs that the labor market is weakening. First-time filings for jobless benefits came to a seasonally adjusted 233,000 for the week, a decline of 17,000 from the previous week’s upwardly revised level and lower than the Dow Jones estimate for 240,000, the

Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump speaks during a press conference at his Mar-a-Lago estate on August 08, 2024, in Palm Beach, Florida.  Joe Raedle | Getty Images Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump on Thursday said that he should have a voice when the Federal Reserve makes its decisions on interest rates. “I feel

Jeremy Siegel Scott Mlyn | CNBC Wharton School Professor Jeremy Siegel no longer thinks it’s vital for the Federal Reserve to implement an emergency interest rate reduction, but still wants policymakers to cut quickly and aggressively. Siegel caused a stir Monday when he told CNBC that Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues should institute

Shipping giant Maersk, considered a barometer for global trade, is not seeing signs of a U.S. recession as freight demand remains robust, the company’s chief executive said Wednesday. “We’ve seen in the last couple of years, actually, [the shipping container] market remaining surprisingly resilient to all the fear of recessions that there has been,” Vincent

A lifeguard works at the beach at Coney Island on June 15, 2023 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. Spencer Platt | Getty Images Dailey Jogan was pleased to learn she would get $15 an hour and a handful of perks as the head swim coach for a metro Detroit team. Her older

Job growth in the U.S. slowed much more than expected during July and the unemployment rate ticked higher, fueling fears of a broader economic slowdown, the Labor Department reported Friday. Nonfarm payrolls grew by just 114,000 for the month, down from the downwardly revised 179,000 in June and below the Dow Jones estimate for 185,000.

People walk through a Manhattan mall on July 05, 2024 in New York City. Spencer Platt | Getty Images News | Getty Images Hiring in the U.S. slowed significantly last month, with information and financial sectors registering job losses. The information services sector was a notable weak spot for July, posting a job loss of

A sign for a health-care career fair at Cape Fear Community College in Wilmington, North Carolina, on Feb. 28, 2023. Allison Joyce | Bloomberg | Getty Images The unemployment rate fell for Asian Americans from June to July, bucking a broader trend, according to data released Friday by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. The

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell arrives to speak at a news conference following a Federal Open Market Committee meeting at the William McChesney Martin Jr. Federal Reserve Board Building on July 31, 2024 in Washington, DC.  Andrew Harnik | Getty Images If the Federal Reserve is starting to set the table for interest rate reductions,