Oil prices at 2-1/2 month lows as China data offsets supply cuts

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Oil prices hit fresh 2-1/2-month lows on Tuesday as mixed economic data from China offset the impact of Saudi Arabia and Russia extending output cuts.

Brent crude futures were down $2.11, or 2.5%, at $83.07 a barrel as of 1428 GMT while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $78.77 a barrel, down $2.05, or 2.5%. Both hit their lowest levels since late August.

The premium on front-month loading Brent contracts over ones loading in six months was also at a 2-1/2-month low, indicating market participants are less concerned with current supply deficits.

While China’s crude oil imports in October showed robust growth both year on year and month on month, its total exports contracted at a quicker pace than expected.

But expectations of crude run reductions by China-based refiners between November and December could also limit oil demand and exacerbate price declines.

World shares, which often trade in tandem with oil, lost steam on Tuesday as investor enthusiasm about a peak in global interest rates faded. In addition, the U.S. dollar has ticked up from recent lows, making oil more expensive for holders of other currencies. [MKTS/GLOB]
On the supply side, markets are waiting to see if Saudi Arabia and Russia are ready to rein in production voluntarily beyond the end of the year in addition to a broader deal among the OPEC+ producer group. “Looking ahead to 2024, Saudi Arabia will probably find it difficult to withdraw its production cuts at the end of this year – after all, any expansion of Saudi Arabian oil production would risk generating an oversupply in the first half of next year,” Commerzbank said in a note.

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