IMF says there is space for more Chinese monetary and fiscal support for economy

News

The IMF’s chief economist spoke in an interview with Reuters.

This follows the latest report, covered here:

Main point from the follow-up interview (Headlines via Reuters):

  • says sees signs of higher inflation expectations increasing, may
    require more forceful tightening moves by central bankers
  • says if inflation
    remains elevated for more than a couple more months in advanced
    economies and wage pressures continue to rise, will likely see more
    aggressive monetary policy tightening
  • says war is ‘piling
    on’ an already elevated inflation environment, increases risk of
    ‘jolt’ away from stable price environment
  • says tight US labor
    market creates demand for more ‘catch-up’ wage increases, raising
    risk of wage-price spirals
  • says fiscal support
    has been greater than needed coming out of the pandemic
  • IMF’s baseline
    forecasts project inflation peak in second quarter, anticipate that
    supply chain disruptions ease and withdrawal of fiscal support cools
    demand
  • March slowdown in
    china economic data greater than expected, but there is room for
    Chinese authorities to counter this with fiscal, monetary stimulus

From earlier:

All countries except one group saw their outlooks revised lower: commodity exporters.That’s a good reminder of the state-of-play in markets.

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