Month: February 2025

According to the University of Michigan’s (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index, American consumers are beginning to grow increasingly concerned about United States (US) President Donald Trump’s approach to economic policy and international trade. Trade war fears have knocked back consumer confidence, and consumer inflation expectations have also climbed. The Preliminary UoM Sentiment Index showed that aggregate
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Dollar edged higher in early US session following the non-farm payrolls (NFP) report, but the overall momentum remains lackluster. Stock futures are flat, while 10-year Treasury yield is staging a slight recovery, suggesting a measured market response as traders hold back from aggressive positioning ahead of next week’s key economic events including US CPI and
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The European Central Bank will publish its staff revision on the neutral rate today, ING’s FX analysts Francesco Pesole notes. EUR/USD to retest the 1.044 Wednesday highs “President Christine Lagarde said last week that r-star is ‘a range that does not give a guideline or a destination’ and Olli Rehn added yesterday that ‘we should
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Technical analysis is filled with numbers, patterns, and sequences that traders rely on for identifying trends, reversals, and breakouts. But among these, one number stands out repeatedly: 20. From moving averages to Donchian Channels, Bollinger Bands, and even the way market participants perceive support and resistance, the number 20 plays a crucial role in price
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Data due on Sunday at 0130 GMT, which is 2030 US Eastern time on Saturday is expected to show Chinese inflation (CPI) barely stumbling along above deflationary territory: Deflation—when prices decline over time—can be harmful to an economy for several reasons: Delayed Spending and Investment – Consumers and businesses may postpone purchases and investments, expecting
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Amazon shares fell roughly 4% on Thursday evening despite the e-commerce and cloud giant reporting a stronger-than-expected fourth quarter after the closing bell. The market participants during extended trading took issue with a first-quarter 2025 forecast that missed estimates and a larger-than-expected capital expenditure plan. However, we don’t see either item as thesis-changing. Revenue increased
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The US Dollar Index holds below 108.00 as mixed economic indicators raise concerns ahead of Friday’s employment report. ADP reports a stronger-than-expected increase in private sector employment for January, while Initial Jobless Claims also rise. Investors anticipate the upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls data to gauge the Federal Reserve’s future monetary policy decisions. The US Dollar Index
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The British Pound weakened significantly after BoE delivered a 25bps rate cut. The policy decision was more dovish than anticipated, primarily due to the unexpected shift in the MPC voting split. Catherine Mann, previously one of the most hawkish members of the committee, reversed course and joined Swati Dhingra in voting for a more aggressive
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Even if the U.K. is not the “direct recipient” of potential tariffs imposed by the U.S., “it will have an effect,” Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said Thursday. If tariffs are announced, their effect on the global economic growth and inflation would need to be looked at, Bailey told CNBC’s Steve Sedgwick. “Now I
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