US non-farm payrolls data – the key ranges for estimates to watch

News

The US non-farm payrolls data is due at 8.30 am US Eastern time on Friday, 8 December 2023.

The ranges for the key data points are:

  • Headline number 100K to 275K
  • Unemployment rate 3.8% to 4.0%
  • Average earnings m/m 0.2% to 0.4% (for the y/y 3.9 to 4.2%)

And, while I’m here, for the Michigan sentiment headline the range of estimates is 60.8 to 65.0

Results outside these bands indicating a stronger labour market than expected should trim back expectations the market has for many rate cuts next year. Weaker data outside these ranges could ramp up expectations, and asset bullishness, even more.

Articles You May Like

Risk Aversion Returns as US Tariff Fears Resurface, Dollar Recovers Late
The USDCHF is holding swing area support. Buyers leaning and staying in play.
AUD/USD jumps to near 0.6380 on better-than-expected Aussie employment
Sony shares surge over 10% after it forecasts stronger revenue and profit for fiscal year 2024
Muted Forex Action as Traders Overlook Data, Await RBNZ Cut

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *