JP Morgan analysts outline potential retaliation by Russia if the G7 manage to put together a mechanism to cap the price of Russian oil: “The most obvious and likely risk with a price cap is that Russia might choose not to participate and instead retaliate by reducing exports.” “It is likely that the government could
Month: July 2022
Supply crunch and strong demand are keeping global oil prices well above the psychological level of $100 a barrel for the last seven weeks. The global crude oil market has been tightened by short supply due to restrictions on Russian oil and little spare capacity among other big oil producers. Russia plays an outsized role
The USD/CAD ended the week almost flat amidst a volatile’s Friday session. Canada’s May GDP contracted by 0.2%, on its preliminary reading, a headwind for the CAD. US manufacturing data showed signs of slowing down; will the Fed slow its tightening pace? The USD/CAD pares some of Thursday’s losses after reaching a weekly high of
EUR/JPY is up 70 pips today but Citi thinks it’s time to fade the pair. “We are going short EURJPY at 142.55 with a minimum target of 137.85-138.20 and a possible extension towards the 200-day MA at 132.54,” analysts at Citi said. If they liked it at 142.55, they’ll like it even better at the
There was a fierce bid for US dollars to start the month but it’s now largely reversed. I could tie together a narrative around rates, Fed hikes and whatnot but I’m going to shrug here and put this on flows around the turn of the calendar. I don’t know if that was European money scrambling
This week has brought an end to the first half of 2022, and it has been a volatile one for gold as well as commodities at large. We are facing uncertain times ahead as market players try to assess the implication of higher interest rates on economic growth while the Russia-Ukraine fighting continues to intensify.
Extending fall in commodity prices and recession fears were the main theme in the markets last week. Australian Dollar ended as the worst performer, followed by New Zealand Dollar, and then Sterling. However, Canadian Dollar was surprisingly the strongest one, partly helped by resilient oil prices. Meanwhile, extended pull back in US and European benchmark
Analysts at MUFG Bank, point out that the South Korean won will likely remain affected by the ongoing concerns on global economic growth and the tightening from the Federal Reserve. They forecast USD/KRW at 1250.00 by the end of the second quarter, and at 1230.00 by the fourth quarter. Key Quotes: “KRW depreciated this June
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Get access to all my Trading Strategies & Perks : https://www.patreon.com/DaviddTechBank of America Global Research discusses USD/JPY technical outlook and warns of a scope for a correction lower in July. “A triangle breakout targeted 131.50 (reached), the trailing high from 2002 is in the 135s (reached), the interior trend line is approximately 140/141, the 38.2% head and shoulders target is 145.18, the peak in 1999
Markets: Gold flat at $1806 US 10-year yields down 8.5 bps to 2.89% WTI crude oil up $2.51 to $108.29 S&P 500 up 1.1% JPY leads, AUD lags This was a holiday-thinned trade with Canada out and many US traders heading out early for the long weekend but it was also the start of a
Shares of tumbled nearly 9 per cent in morning trade on Friday after the government imposed an export tax on petrol, diesel and jet fuel (ATF). The government on Friday slapped an export tax on petrol, diesel and jet fuel shipped overseas by firms like , and imposed a windfall tax on crude oil produced
Markets start the first day of the second half dumping risk assets, from stocks to oil to gold and copper. Safe haven flow into treasury has indeed started overnight, pushing US 10-year yield back below 3% handle. In the currency markets, Yen rides on the negative sentiment and rises broadly. Aussie leads other commodity currencies
The USD/CHF to finish the week with decent gains of 0.39%. Risk-aversion dominates Friday’s session, as throughout the whole week. The USD/CHF double top in the daily chart is still in play, but failure at 0.9544, paves the way for further gains as buyers eye 0.9700. In the near term, the major is upward biased,
Oil came into the day on a three-day winning streak and looked to be extending that to four as gains stretched to $114.01 at the highs. But a sharp turnaround started four hours ago and it finished just below $110. One of the reasons was a comment from a US OPEC envoy who said he