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I have taken over 5000 trades in total when I took 100 trades with many different and popular trading strategies to find their win rates. Subscribers of the Trading Rush channel saw how some trading strategies gave good profitable win rates as expected, and how some less-known strategies gave unexpected win rates.
We even gave them a Trading Rush Score, or TR Score for short, to not only compare the strategies by win rates, but also by reliability, consistent profits, easy to use, and quality of trades category. If you have been watching Trading Rush videos for a while, or if you have looked at the TR Score chart on the Trading Rush Website, you might have noticed an interesting pattern in the data we collected by taking more than 5000 trades so far.
If you are a beginner trader still struggling to make money in the Forex and Stock Market, this video will most likely make you see what makes you lose money in trading.
Out of all 5 categories that make up the TR Score, let’s start with the win rate. In this category, all strategies are rated based on the win rate they got when we took 100 trades with them.
For example, the Aroon Trading Strategy got a breakeven percentage of 40 percent with a 1.5 to 1 reward risk ratio. So the Aroon strategy got 4 in the win rate category. Similarly, the worst trading strategy we have tested got a score of 3.3, and the best trading strategy we have tested on the Trading Rush channel, got a score of 7.8.
In other words, the win rate score ranges between 3.3 and 7.8.
However, if you plot all of the win rate data as a histogram, you will see that most trading strategies got a score between 4 and 4.9.
Remember, 4 is the breakeven point because we tested with a 1.5 to 1 reward risk ratio. Why 1.5 to 1, and not 2 to 1? Because when we took 300 trades to find out what reward risk ratio is the best, we found out that 1.5 to 1 is the sweet spot.
But the results get more interesting.
If we plot the same data using a pie chart, we will see that 76.5 percent of strategies made a profit, 9.8 percent got a breakeven percentage, and only 13.7 percent actually lost money. This means that 86.3 percent of trading strategies didn’t make a loss. But apparently, 90 percent of traders lose money in trading. We will get to that in a moment but watch this.
If you look at the Easy to Use category, you will realize that most trading strategies got a score between 7 and 7.9. This indicates that most strategies that actually made money in the long run, were simple strategies that even your dog can understand easily.
The Reliability category is based on the number of false signals and other reliability issues. A good score is anything above 4. And as you can see, most strategies performed well. If you have watched the Strategies Tested 100 Times series, you saw that most strategies that make money, in the long run, lowered their win rate and became very unreliable near the end of the trends. That’s why, even though most trading strategies made money and got good win rates, their reliability score was slightly lower and close to breakeven. This also means win rate is not the only thing you should be focused on, because some strategies will give more false signals in a row, and some are more reliable in the long run…
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