US bond yields continue to stretch the range

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The market is more sanguine about it today

The US 30-year bond yield is up 7.8 bps to 2.26% today as the break higher continues. At the start of February it was at 1.80%.

We appear to be on a collision course for 2.40%, which is the 2020 high and the 61.8% retracement of the 2018-2020 fall.

The rise today isn’t having the same effect on broader markets, though the US dollar is ticking higher. Powell highlighted rising long-end yields yesterday as a sign of confidence in the economy and there’s certainly some truth to that.

At some point the foreign buyers will step up in a big way to cap the top and there are signs of that as the US dollar climbs in the past few minutes.

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